Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.910299 3.429219 4.038160 4.811873 5.777864 6.956219 8.521118e+00
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 2.295407 2.985704 3.904809 5.248024 7.213356 10.071546 1.471696e+01
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 1.923989 2.658396 3.716492 5.410722 8.174137 12.738039 2.141064e+01
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1.703912 2.470757 3.648685 5.684847 9.334818 16.100397 3.103906e+01
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.479037 2.223674 3.424473 5.627634 9.887744 18.581151 4.047811e+01
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.322890 2.053440 3.283749 5.667022 10.613676 21.691378 5.358261e+01
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.195392 1.907704 3.153805 5.687710 11.299292 25.019701 7.011459e+01
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.121314 1.840616 3.148987 5.947834 12.591071 30.488383 9.911065e+01
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.015631 1.701686 2.985825 5.838696 12.977590 33.733380 1.241246e+02
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.939035 1.605667 2.889627 5.853404 13.685282 38.372273 1.622487e+02
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.863456 1.502007 2.762124 5.768356 14.101294 42.350590 2.044354e+02
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.817081 1.448918 2.730381 5.904729 15.206069 49.602751 2.832925e+02
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.741809 1.338694 2.580061 5.764575 15.599945 55.194999 3.757699e+02
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.720861 1.337616 2.672970 6.299477 18.528465 75.589851 7.201678e+02
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.679972 1.288575 2.647341 6.504479 20.456559 94.121120 1.230634e+03
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.651211 1.261149 2.667052 6.849230 23.173048 122.340314 2.402803e+03
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.604046 1.186974 2.559910 6.777190 24.140153 141.017642 3.877965e+03
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.567980 1.133348 2.495682 6.826785 25.728816 168.677751 7.141468e+03
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.534680 1.082081 2.429327 6.852840 27.265538 200.616386 1.393963e+04
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.516469 1.063855 2.447422 7.180913 30.672043 264.425487 4.177918e+04
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.482681 1.004603 2.344670 7.043165 31.415970 299.671233 9.022401e+04
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.457491 0.963610 2.286936 7.061721 33.169115 358.643628 2.926086e+05
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.430539 0.915541 2.202312 6.954464 34.091122 410.554510 1.042786e+06